Thanks to Stephanie Kienzle at Votersopinion.com for publishing my post. She is holding a magnifying glass on North Miami and North Miami Beach politics and is a partner in revealing how to make government "OPEN".
Here is an excerpt from the article:
Yes, this has to do with mayoral contest in North Miami. No, it is not another post about “Coco Douce” or about the devil hexing candidates for mayor.
This other story has to do with the victory of Lucie Tondreau, the recently sworn in mayor of North Miami, over the former mayor Kevin Burns. The North Miami election was very busy with the mayor and 2 city council seats having to go to a run-off election. Ms. Tondreau was swept into office with 833 votes (about an 11% margin). This margin for victory has never been seen before in North Miami politics.
Maybe Lucie Tondreau is that popular. Maybe North Miami voters really wanted something different than Kevin Burns. Maybe this was just great timing. But something was troubling me about the results and it was mainly this:
Burns had a near 400 vote (over 5%) advantage to Tondreau after the regular election. How did Tondreau manage to pull off a swing of more than 1,200 votes in her favor to defeat a popular, former mayor?
Read more at: http://www.votersopinion.com/?p=9893
Did you really think that this was enough information to make the case that the election was rigged? I don't think so.
ReplyDeleteI said as much to other bloggers but was ignored. People are even dismissing what little you said by blaming the vote results on the fact most North Miami voters are Haitians.
Haitians are much more cultured and educated then the Black community. Haitians do not consider themselves "Black" but Caribbean.
People don't have enough facts so they come to the wrong conclusion and dismiss what happened in North Miami.
Take a look at this, from elections going back to 2011 I got the AB rejection rates for only registered North Miami voters. The history clearly shows that something happened in the recent North Miami elections that deviated heavily against the norm (see below). Remember, President Obama was on the ballot in November 2012.
The AB rejection for signature mismatch hovers around 10% in both the North Miami regular and run-off. Clearly, this is something special we are looking at. From a political science point of view, I can also tell you that the success of the Tondreau campaign's GOTV was exceptional (which is clear from the Votersopinion.com blog).
Miami-Dade County Special Election(Mar/15/2011)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 871
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 15
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 1.72%
Miami-Dade County Special Election(May/24/2011)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 1,057
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 35
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 3.31%
Miami-Dade County Special Run-Off(Jun/28/2011)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 1,187
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 27
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 2.27%
Pres Preference Primary 2012(Jan/31/2012)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 868
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 19
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 2.19%
2012 Primary Election(Aug/14/2012)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 1,607
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 66
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 4.11%
2012 General Election(Nov/06/2012)
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 3,980
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 63
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 1.58%
North Miami Regular(May/14/2013)*
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 2,039
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 202
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 9.91%
Number rejected from signature mismatch** 18
Mismatch Rate 8.91%
North Miami Run-Off(June/4/2013)*
Number of Absentee Ballots Cast 2,306
Number of Absentee Ballots Rejected 245
Absentee Ballot Rejection Rate 10.62%
Number rejected from signature mismatch** 186
Mismatch Rate 75.92%
Notes:
*I do not have the data for just the 2011 North Miami results (where there was also a run-off).
**I only have the breakdown of the AB rejection numbers for the North Miami regular and run-off.